Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000096 0.000102 0.000107 0.000113 0.000120 0.000128 0.000136
2024-12-29 0.000089 0.000097 0.000105 0.000115 0.000127 0.000140 0.000157
2025-01-05 0.000082 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000128 0.000145 0.000168
2025-01-12 0.000076 0.000085 0.000095 0.000109 0.000125 0.000146 0.000174
2025-01-19 0.000071 0.000080 0.000092 0.000106 0.000124 0.000147 0.000180
2025-01-26 0.000066 0.000076 0.000087 0.000101 0.000120 0.000145 0.000180
2025-02-02 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086 0.000102 0.000123 0.000151 0.000193
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086 0.000104 0.000127 0.000160 0.000211
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000073 0.000087 0.000105 0.000132 0.000169 0.000229
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000075 0.000090 0.000111 0.000141 0.000186 0.000264
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000072 0.000087 0.000108 0.000138 0.000185 0.000267
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000069 0.000084 0.000105 0.000135 0.000182 0.000267
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000068 0.000082 0.000104 0.000137 0.000188 0.000285
2025-03-23 0.000055 0.000067 0.000083 0.000106 0.000142 0.000200 0.000317
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000065 0.000080 0.000104 0.000140 0.000201 0.000328
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000100 0.000137 0.000198 0.000328
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000098 0.000134 0.000196 0.000333
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000057 0.000072 0.000094 0.000129 0.000190 0.000325
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000094 0.000131 0.000198 0.000352
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000096 0.000136 0.000209 0.000392
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000057 0.000072 0.000097 0.000140 0.000222 0.000437
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000102 0.000150 0.000248 0.000532
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000056 0.000072 0.000099 0.000147 0.000244 0.000534